A Mathematical model to Study the Effect of Herdsmen/Farmers Crises on Agricultural and Economic Growth in Benue State, Nigeria
Atindiga, S.T1.; Orngudwem, T.I1., Kper, B. T2 & Kwaghbula, N.G3
1Department of Basic Sciences, Akperan Orshi College of Agriculture, Yandev-Benue State
2ICT Directorate, Akperan Orshi College Agriculture, Yandev-Benue State
3University of Agriculture, Demonstration Secondary School, Makurdi-Benue State.
ABSTRACT
We developed a mathematical model to assess the ill activities of herdsmen on the people of Ukum and Logo local government areas of Benue State. We evaluated the effect of security on the dynamics of herdsmen activities in Ukum and Logo which has been implicated in the spread of crises across the state. The resulting co-mingling of the people of these local governments which are at high risk does not only explain high prevalence of crises in Ukum/Logo and the subsequent spread of the menace in the whole state, but also points out the magnitude of the problem (killings, burning of houses and destruction of properties/produce and even grown crops) and the urgency of introducing effective security measures for the control/eradication of communal crises. Furthermore, results from our numerical experiments show that security could be a very effective measure to control/eradicate the unrest. However, proportion of those communities being secured must be sufficiently high, say 80% and above.
Keywords: Model, LAS, Stability, Crises, Security
